High fidelity backtesting
Simulation of strategies on historical series with commissions, slippage and liquidity included in the calculation, so that the results reflect real execution conditions and not an idealized scenario.
Turdo Fondoria integrates predictive models and high-fidelity backtesting for day traders and private investors to identify setups with backed statistical probability, rather than relying on in-the-moment intuition.
Real-time analysis panel: trading history, risk metrics and backtesting results on real market data.
Between news, technical indicators and volume movements, the discretionary trader processes dozens of variables under time pressure. The usual result is decision fatigue: late entries, premature exits, and criteria that change from session to session.
Without a systematic framework, it is difficult to distinguish a statistically relevant signal from a market coincidence.
Our predictive models process the same volume of data consistently, without fatigue or emotional bias, and classify opportunities based on their historical performance under similar market conditions.
The operator retains control of the execution; The system provides the quantitative context that supports each decision.
Each module is designed for traders who already understand the value of backtesting and systematic risk management.
Simulation of strategies on historical series with commissions, slippage and liquidity included in the calculation, so that the results reflect real execution conditions and not an idealized scenario.
Continuous processing of market data to update probabilities and reference levels as conditions change, with latency low enough for intraday trading.
Protocols that adjust position size and exit levels based on recent volatility, reducing exposure in scenarios where the model detects lower statistical reliability.
We explain the logic behind each recommendation so you can evaluate it with the same rigor you would apply to any other analysis tool.
The system consolidates price, volume and market depth data from multiple sources, normalizing it to make it comparable across different instruments and time frames.
Predictive models look for recurring structures in historical price behavior and contrast them against past performance before considering them relevant.
Once a pattern is identified, the system calculates exit and risk management levels adjusted to the volatility of the asset, prioritizing consistency over the specific result of a single operation.
In scalping operations, every second of latency or every poorly calibrated signal has a direct cost. Turdo Fondoria adjusts its models to short time frames, prioritizing calculation speed and filtering out low liquidity movements that often generate false breakouts.
In swing trading, the goal is not speed but consistency over several days or weeks. The system evaluates broader market cycles and identifies levels where the risk-reward ratio has historically been favorable, reducing accumulated drawdown compared to purely discretionary decisions.
Turdo Fondoria was born from the need to apply consistent quantitative criteria to an environment that usually rewards quick reaction over analysis. Our job is to translate large volumes of market data into actionable information, without shortcuts or artificial guarantees.
We believe that transparency about how a model works is as important as its result. That's why we document the logic of each stage of the process and provide access to the backtesting history that supports each strategy.
Learn moreConnection credentials with brokers or exchanges are managed using keys with restricted permissions, usually limited to reading and execution, without the ability to withdraw funds. We always recommend configuring these permissions directly with the corresponding provider and periodically reviewing active accesses.
Real-time data processing is optimized for intraday trading, although the final latency also depends on the user's connection infrastructure and the broker used. For very high frequency strategies, we recommend evaluating the available network infrastructure before automating execution.
The models are trained and validated on historical series that include different volatility regimes, and are subjected to out-of-sample backtesting to verify that the behavior is not artificially adjusted to a specific period. Parameters are reviewed periodically as new data becomes available.